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The Future of Low Birth-Rate Populations

Lincoln H. Day

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Paperback

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English
Routledge
16 March 1995
Everywhere in the world, populations of largely

European origin are currently exeriencing not only their lowest-ever fertility levels, but what seem likely to be their

longest- ever period of fertility at below-replacement levels. Although it is widely assumed that the fertiliy of these

countries will return to replacement levels within 30 to 35

years there is at present no empirical evidence that this will happen. The inevitable demographic results of this fertility pattern are an older age structure and a decline in numbers. Many see this as leading to labour shortages and wage inflation; even to weakened national defense and the disappearance of European peoples and culture. But while they are inevitable in today's low birth-rate populations, numerical declines and older age structures are unlikely to be either as great or as disruptive as commonly anticipated. Moreover, the policies proposed to avoid such demographic developments

are clearly unsuitable. The inevitability of these changes - new in human history - must be accepted before societies can adjust to them and realize the benefits that inhere in them. The Future of Low Birth-Rate Populations assesses the demographic situation, the likely policy alternatives, the significance of future changes in fertility and mortality rates and analyses the likely gains and losses attendant upon an ageing, dwindling people.
By:  
Imprint:   Routledge
Country of Publication:   United Kingdom
Edition:   New edition
Dimensions:   Height: 216mm,  Width: 138mm,  Spine: 12mm
Weight:   272g
ISBN:   9780415127042
ISBN 10:   0415127041
Pages:   204
Publication Date:  
Audience:   College/higher education ,  General/trade ,  Professional & Vocational ,  Primary ,  ELT Advanced
Format:   Paperback
Publisher's Status:   Active

Prior to his recent retirement Lincoln H. Day was Senior Fellow in Demography at the Australian National University.

Reviews for The Future of Low Birth-Rate Populations

`Deserves to be read by anyone interested in the implications of persistent low fertility and consequent deomgraphic ageing.' - Population and Development Review `With its bold ideas about no-growth and negative-growth populations scenarios, the book is bound to stimulate debate.' - Population Today `The book can be confidently recommended to the non-population expert as well as to demographers themselves. [It is] clearly and cogently written... Lincoln Day makes an excellent case that a stable population with more old people could be a more sustainable and harmonious society.' - Australian National University Reporter `... lucid ... should be of substantial interest to scholars in the fields of demography, sociology, gerontology and European studies.' - Choice


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