Probability and Inductive Logic

Antony Eagle (University of Adelaide)

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English

Cambridge University Press
30 January 2025

Philosophy: logic

Series: Elements in Philosophy and Logic

Summary
Details

Reasoning from inconclusive evidence, or 'induction', is central to science and any applications we make of it. For that reason alone it demands the attention of philosophers of science. This element explores the prospects of using probability theory to provide an inductive logic: a framework for representing evidential support. Constraints on the ideal evaluation of hypotheses suggest that the overall standing of a hypothesis is represented by its probability in light of the total evidence, and incremental support, or confirmation, indicated by the hypothesis having a higher probability conditional on some evidence than it does unconditionally. This proposal is shown to have the capacity to reconstruct many canons of the scientific method and inductive inference. Along the way, significant objections are discussed, such as the challenge of inductive scepticism, and the objection that the probabilistic approach makes evidential support arbitrary.

By: Antony Eagle (University of Adelaide)
Imprint: Cambridge University Press
Country of Publication: United Kingdom
Dimensions: Height: 229mm, Width: 152mm, Spine: 8mm
Weight: 287g
ISBN: 9781009507585
ISBN 10: 1009507583
Series: Elements in Philosophy and Logic
Pages: 102
Publication Date: 30 January 2025
Audience: General/trade , ELT Advanced
Format: Hardback
Publisher's Status: Active