Empirical Macroeconomics and Statistical Uncertainty: Spatial and Temporal Disaggregation of Regional...

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Mateusz Pipień Sylwia Roszkowska

Empirical Macroeconomics and Statistical Uncertainty

Spatial and Temporal Disaggregation of Regional Economic Indicators

Mateusz Pipień, Sylwia Roszkowska

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English

Routledge
29 April 2022

Macroeconomics; Labour economics; Economic forecasting; Probability & statistics; Human geography

Series: Routledge Studies in the European Economy

This book addresses one of the most important research activities in empirical macroeconomics. It provides a course of advanced but intuitive methods and tools enabling the spatial and temporal disaggregation of basic macroeconomic variables and the assessment of the statistical uncertainty of the outcomes of disaggregation.

The empirical analysis focuses mainly on GDP and its growth in the context of Poland. However, all of the methods discussed can be easily applied to other countries. The approach used in the book views spatial and temporal disaggregation as a special case of the estimation of missing observations (a topic on missing data analysis). The book presents an econometric course of models of Seemingly Unrelated Regression Equations (SURE). The main advantage of using the SURE specification is to tackle the presented research problem so that it allows for the heterogeneity of the parameters describing relations between macroeconomic indicators. The book contains model specification, as well as descriptions of stochastic assumptions and resulting procedures of estimation and testing. The method also addresses uncertainty in the estimates produced. All of the necessary tests and assumptions are presented in detail. The results are designed to serve as a source of invaluable information making regional analyses more convenient and – more importantly – comparable. It will create a solid basis for making conclusions and recommendations concerning regional economic policy in Poland, particularly regarding the assessment of the economic situation.

This is essential reading for academics, researchers, and economists with regional analysis as their field of expertise, as well as central bankers and policymakers.

By: Mateusz Pipień, Sylwia Roszkowska
Imprint: Routledge
Country of Publication: United Kingdom
Dimensions: Height: 234mm, Width: 156mm,
Weight: 320g
ISBN: 9780367540784
ISBN 10: 0367540789
Series: Routledge Studies in the European Economy
Pages: 120
Publication Date: 29 April 2022
Audience: College/higher education , Primary
Format: Paperback
Publisher's Status: Active

1. Introduction 2. Importance of regional data for policy evaluation 3. A review of official statistics describing economic conditions in NUTS-2 regions in Poland 4. Basic properties of the model of Seemingly Unrelated Regression Equations 5. NUTS-2 disaggregation of the Polish GDP: preliminary analyses within SUREdiag 6. NUTS-2 disaggregation of the Polish GDP: including other explanatory variables 7. Concluding remarks

Mateusz Pipień is an associate professor in the Department of Empirical Analyses of Economic Stability, Cracow University of Economics, Poland. Sylwia Roszkowska is an assistant professor in the Department of Macroeconomics, University of Lodz, Poland.