Boom

Bubbles and the End of Stagnation

Byrne Hobart, Tobias Huber

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Hardback

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English

Stripe Press
19 November 2024

Business innovation; Entrepreneurship; Impact of science & technology on society; History of engineering & technology

A timely investigation of the causes of technological and scientific stagnation, and a radical blueprint for accelerating innovation.

From the Moon landing to the dawning of the atomic age, the decades prior to the 1970s were characterised by the routine invention of transformative technologies at breakneck speed. By comparison, ours is an age of stagnation. Median wage growth has slowed, inequality and income concentration are on the rise, and scientific research has become increasingly expensive and incremental.

Why are we unable to replicate the rate of progress of past decades? What can we do to reinvigorate innovation?

In Boom, Byrne Hobart and Tobias Huber take an inductive approach to the problem. In a series of case studies tracking some of the most significant breakthroughs of the past 100 years

from the Manhattan Project and the Apollo program to fracking and Bitcoin

they reverse-engineer how transformative progress arises from small groups with a unified vision, vast funding, and surprisingly poor accountability. They conclude that financial bubbles, while often maligned as destructive and destabilising forces, have in fact been the engine of past breakthroughs and will drive future advances. In other words: Bubbles aren't all bad.

Integrating insights from economics, philosophy, and history, Boom identifies the root causes of the Great Stagnation and provides a blueprint for accelerating innovation. By decreasing collective risk aversion, overfunding experimental processes, and organising high-agency individuals around a transcendent mission, bubbles are the key to realizing a future that is radically different from the present. Boom offers a definite and optimistic vision of our future

and a path to unleash a new era of global prosperity.

'Read this book for the alternative history of our age.'

Peter Thiel, investor and author of Zero to One

'A must-read for those who seek to build the future.'

Marc Andreessen, cofounder of Netscape and Andreessen Horowitz

By: Byrne Hobart, Tobias Huber
Imprint: Stripe Press
Country of Publication: United States
Dimensions: Height: 228mm, Width: 152mm,
ISBN: 9781953953476
ISBN 10: 1953953476
Pages: 304
Publication Date: 19 November 2024
Audience: General/trade , ELT Advanced
Format: Hardback
Publisher's Status: Active

Introduction: Doom and Boom Part I: Stagnation Chapter 1: The Ideology of Stasis Chapter 2: From Bust to Boom: Bubbles as Innovation Accelerators Part II: Acceleration Chapter 3: The Manhattan Project Chapter 4: The Apollo Program Chapter 5: Moore’s law Chapter 6: The Golden Age of Corporate R & D Chapter 7: Fracking Chapter 8: Bitcoin Part III: Escape Chapter 9: Unleashing Prometheus? Technology as Salvation Acknowledgments About the Authors Bibliography Index

Byrne Hobart is an investor, consultant, and writer. He is the author of The Diff, a daily newsletter covering inflection points in finance and technology. He is also a founding partner at Anomaly, a frontier tech investment firm. Tobias Huber is a writer and investor. He is a founding partner at Anomaly, a frontier tech investment firm. He has a background in philosophy and holds a doctor of science degree from ETH Zurich.

Reviews for Boom: Bubbles and the End of Stagnation

“The dot-com bubble looked like the peak of delusion, but the truly deluded were those who wanted to indefinitely defer the future. Everyone knows bubbles can disguise madness as wisdom; read this book for the alternative history of our age.” —Peter Thiel, investor and author of Zero to One ""When is it that temporary bubbles can help drive forward progress? This happened with the railroads, with the internet, and it is likely to happen with AI. Byrne Hobart and Tobias Huber have produced some essential reading on a very important and also understudied topic."" —Tyler Cowen, author of The Great Stagnation and professor of economics at George Mason University