Famous First Bubbles

The Fundamentals of Early Manias

Peter M. Garber

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English

MIT Press
24 August 2001

Monetary economics; Microeconomics; International finance

Series: The MIT Press

The jargon of economics and finance contains numerous colorful terms for market-asset prices at odds with any reasonable economic explanation. Examples include ""bubble,"" ""tulipmania,"" ""chain letter,"" ""Ponzi scheme,"" ""panic,"" ""crash,"" ""herding,"" and ""irrational exuberance."" Although such a term suggests that an event is inexplicably crowd-driven, what it really means, claims Peter Garber, is that we have grasped a near-empty explanation rather than expend the effort to understand the event.

In this book Garber offers market-fundamental explanations for the three most famous bubbles- the Dutch Tulipmania (1634-1637), the Mississippi Bubble (1719-1720), and the closely connected South Sea Bubble (1720). He focuses most closely on the Tulipmania because it is the event that most modern observers view as clearly crazy. Comparing the pattern of price declines for initially rare eighteenth-century bulbs to that of seventeenth-century bulbs, he concludes that the extremely high prices for rare bulbs and their rapid decline reflects normal pricing behavior. In the cases of the Mississippi and South Sea Bubbles, he describes the asset markets and financial manipulations involved in these episodes and casts them as market fundamentals.

By: Peter M. Garber
Imprint: MIT Press
Country of Publication: United States
Edition: New edition
Dimensions: Height: 203mm, Width: 137mm, Spine: 6mm
Weight: 213g
ISBN: 9780262571531
ISBN 10: 0262571536
Series: The MIT Press
Pages: 175
Publication Date: 24 August 2001
Recommended Age: From 18
Audience: College/higher education , Professional and scholarly , Professional & Vocational , A / AS level , Further / Higher Education
Format: Paperback
Publisher's Status: Active

Peter M. Garber is Global Strategist at Global Markets Research of Deutsche Bank.

Reviews for Famous First Bubbles: The Fundamentals of Early Manias

This wonderful short book takes us behind the curtains of financial folly. It skillfully offers both anecdote and analysis of events that we may be reliving just now. --Rudi Dornbusch, Ford Professor of Economics and International Management, MIT